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    What is Rove up to? ** A 3-2-1 strategy can get him to the magic 270 electoral votes. By KARL ROVE On Tuesday, Gallup's seven-day tracking poll had Barack Obama and Mitt Romney tied at 46%. With the incumbent stuck below 50% on the ballot and Mr. Romney's favorability rising, the Republican challenger has a good shot at winning. To take the White House, Mr. Romney needs 270 votes in the Electoral College. A "3-2-1" strategy will get him there. If Mr. Romney carries the states John McCain won in 2008 and regains Nebraska's second district (the state awards three of its five electoral votes by congressional district, the other two to the statewide winner), the Electoral College will be 14 votes closer than the 365-to-173 total in 2008. That's because the 2010 Census cost blue states such as Massachusetts, New York and Illinois congressional seats—and electoral votes—while red states such as South Carolina, Georgia and Texas gained seats. None of Mr. McCain's states appear in real jeopardy for the GOP this year. After this initial hurdle, Mr. Romney's victory road starts with "3"—as in Indiana, North Carolina and Virginia, a trio of historically Republican states. In 2008, Mr. Obama won by narrow margins in Indiana (barely 1%) and North Carolina (0.32%). Today, even Team Obama doesn't pretend Indiana is in play. North Carolina also appears to be sliding away from the president: A May 14 Rasmussen poll of likely voters showed 51% for Romney, 43% for Obama. Virginia, on the other hand, will likely remain a battleground through Election Day. Mr. Obama carried it by more than six points and remains ahead by a little more than three points, according to the RealClearPolitics average of state polls. Nevertheless, if Mr. Romney can put these states' combined 39 electoral votes back into the GOP column, the Electoral College vote would be 319 for Mr. Obama, 219 for Mr. Romney. Next up is "2"—as in Florida and Ohio. They flipped from Republican in 2004 to Democratic in 2008. Both were close—a 2.8% margin for Mr. Obama in the former and 4.6% in the latter. The president's commanding lead in Florida among Jews has been sagging, his lead among Latinos has sharply narrowed, and seniors are restless. In Ohio he has definite problems with white working-class voters and affluent suburban independents. The race is extremely close in the Buckeye State—a May 7 Quinnipiac poll of registered voters has Mr. Romney at 44%, Mr. Obama at 45%—while a May 21 Quinnipiac poll of registered voters in the Sunshine State has Mr. Romney up 47% to 41%. These two states have a combined 47 electoral votes. If Mr. Romney wins them, the Electoral College would stand at 272 for Mr. Obama, 266 for Mr. Romney. Which brings us to "1." Mr. Romney then needs one more state—any state—and the White House is his. There are many paths open to him. One is the Neighborhood route. If the Boston resident and former Massachusetts governor captures next-door New Hampshire, its four electoral votes would take him to the magical 270 and the Oval Office. There's also the Great Lakes route through Michigan (16 electoral votes), Pennsylvania (20) and Wisconsin (10). Of these, Michigan may be the toughest. But Mr. Obama's antipathy toward coal, added to problems with working-class whites and suburban independents, puts Pennsylvania in play. A May 21 Rasmussen poll of likely voters had the president ahead by six percentage points. And if Gov. Scott Walker survives his June 5 recall by a healthy margin, Wisconsin could also be up for grabs—as it was in 2000 and 2004, when Democrats carried it by extremely narrow margins. A May 12 Marquette University Law School poll of likely voters shows the presidential race in Wisconsin tied at 46%. The Western route is Colorado (nine electoral votes), Nevada (six) or New Mexico (five). An April 23 Purple Strategies Poll of likely voters has the race tied in Colorado at 47%.

    Rove: Romney's Roads to the White House

    2012%20Poll%20Troll

  • U.S. Seaman's Romantic Reunion With His Boyfriend After Six-Month Deployment On USS Carl Vinson

    Video:

    U.S. Seaman's Romantic Reunion With His Boyfriend After Six-Month Deployment On USS Carl Vinson

  • Nicki Minaj

    Is she making fun of white girls?

  • My partner is out of town for a funeral.

    He left Tuesday and get backs tomorrow. Life has been so boring without him.

  • Homophobia and Figure Skating

    Who are the bullies? Who are the Rebels?

  • American Idol Top 24 (spoiler)

    Weak, weak, weak. And the whitest season ever. I love me some soul and a big black girl voice. Nothing this year. Hard to believe.

    American Idol Top 24 (spoiler)

  • THIS is what change looks like

    Enough with caling Obama a failure.

    THIS is what change looks like

  • Madonna Songs You Love & Hate

    Continuing in the glow of Glee.\ \ Madonna songs I Love:\ Express Yourself\ Like a Prayer\ You Must Love Me\ \ Madonna songs I hate:\ Frozen\ Rain\ Dance Tonite

  • Linda Ronstadt retires

    No more concerts. No more albums. %0D\ %0D\ She''s done. %0D\ %0D\ ----------------------------------------------%0D\ %0D\ "I am 100 percent retired and I''m not doing anything any more. I''m at the ripe old age of getting to be 65 and I find that I don''t have the power that I had and that''s not worth inviting people to spend their money."%0D\ %0D

    Linda Ronstadt retires

    Liza and Streisand take notes.

  • What happens if Greece defaults

    Why are people making it seem like this tiny nothing country in the Mediterranean will bring down the whole world''s financial system. %0D\ %0D

  • Atlas Shrugged

    I wish they could have done a good job on it. Disappointing movie.

  • How will we bring an end to Corporate Rule of our Govt.?

    Will it take some actual fighting?

  • Phyllis Schlafly Gay Son ***DOES NOT*** Support Same-Sex Marriage.

    John Schlafly asked if he supports his mother''s signature issue of the week -- a constitutional ban on gay marriage -- he stops for a moment to collect his thoughts.\ \ "I think the traditional definition of marriage has served our society well, and it shouldn''t be changed," says John Schlafly, choosing his words slowly. "That was the law in every state, and still is except for certain court decisions. I don''t see why there''s anything wrong with it."\ \ "It doesn''t prevent gays from living their personal lives any way they choose," he said quietly, "Gays have all the same civil and political rights as everyone else. The rights guaranteed by our Constitution."

  • Man confesses to killing Etan Patz

    Finally?

    Man confesses to killing Etan Patz

  • BREAKING * On her first day, Brit QUITS X-FaCTOR *

    Bring on the kah-rayzee!

    BREAKING * On her first day, Brit QUITS X-FaCTOR *

    Xtina%20-%20sane%20and%20on%20The%20Voice

  • A vote for Romney is really just a vote against the nigger, right?

    Obama is heads and tails above Mitt Romney in every single way that a vote for Romney is really just a vote to get the nigger out of the White House. Correct?

  • AOL CHATROOMS: Nice Gay Guys...Gay Morning Kawfee...Ask Gay Guy Anything...

    Did any of you frequent these rooms on AOL?

  • Porn stars who won't bottom

    Latest from Michael Lucas is that he tops "retiring" Matthew Rush. Though Rush is a former top who has, in recent years, bottomed there are some tops who just won't give it up. Lucas is one of them. Who else has been holding out for too long?

  • Songs with a second melody

    "Nights on Broadway"

    RIP Robin

  • Most "Christians" are more homophobic than they are Christian.

    Here's proof: This "Scripture" blogger, not a liberal by any means, posted, What Does the Bible Actually Say about Homosexuality? And because he didn't conclude that homosexuality will send you to the deepest darkest pits of hell, some of the so-called "Christians" are going bat-shit crazy. Here's one of his responses to these ignoramuses: [quote]So, Steve, a straightforward reading of the text of the Levitical Law also says it is an abomination to wear clothing made of two different materials, to eat shellfish, and to have sex with my wife when she has her menstrual period. How do you handle that? I think he's making the point that because Jewish law at that time forbids homosexuality, just like they forbid you to eat certain foods, that homosexual acts may have been used to make a point...so they understand. That doesn't necessarily translate to today. AND, Jesus/God wants you to be with the one you love, only because it will keep your unbridled lust from getting out of control. In other words, as long as there is true LOVE, it doesn't matter the gender. It's the sex without love, heterosexual or homosexual, that is condemned.

    Most "Christians" are more homophobic than they are Christian.