I try to confine it to once a year around the holidays. Yet yesterday both the soup mix and sour cream were on sale. I told myself I could use the sour cream for tacos, paprikash etc. but it was a lie. I got home and mixed the two together. I refused to allow myself potato chips so today I had it on toast for breakfast. I am sitting here craving more. Damn you Lipton's.
The Rialto has never been hotter! BLONDES is a much-needed hit for Encores, people are rushing to see all the Tony nominees - it's almost like a real season! Broadway, alive and vital! Shocker! Lorna Luft out of North Shore "Dolly," replaced by Jackie Piro Donovan - does the cast at North Shore know what a major bullet they've dodged? Central Park "Into the Woods" still missing its Baker? Raul's available come Sunday ... will he be flippin' and floppin' in the park this summer? Transfer talk already of "Gentlemen Prefer Blands," - excuse me, Blondes - when could Hilty even do it? Her only free time to rehearse is now till July. Idina and Kristin - bestest buddies in reality? All those nasty rumors untrue? If GCB goes down this week, will Idina send Kristin her a big black wreath? Tony, Tony - Jeremy Jordan? Or Danny Burstein? Jan Maxwell, Audra, or overdue Kelli? Judy Kaye, Da'Vine Joy, or Jessie Mueller? And - NEWSIES or ONCE? Peter and the Starfucker - Chin up, Christian! You're probably going to win! Stockard Channing vs Linda Lavin! Would anyone want to go to rounds with either of them? May the best bitch win! (I wonder who Christian Hoff is rooting for?) Does the LA Follies suddenly work with Vicki Clark? Was that the missing ingredient? An actual frump playing a frumpy ex-showgirl? Leap of Streep! Obviously the hot ticket for the summer - but for all the wrong reasons? Anya - Vodka! Vodka! Elaine Stritch's favorite flop musical. We're off to the races. Place your bets here, kids.
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And he's winning!
What is Rove up to? ** A 3-2-1 strategy can get him to the magic 270 electoral votes. By KARL ROVE On Tuesday, Gallup's seven-day tracking poll had Barack Obama and Mitt Romney tied at 46%. With the incumbent stuck below 50% on the ballot and Mr. Romney's favorability rising, the Republican challenger has a good shot at winning. To take the White House, Mr. Romney needs 270 votes in the Electoral College. A "3-2-1" strategy will get him there. If Mr. Romney carries the states John McCain won in 2008 and regains Nebraska's second district (the state awards three of its five electoral votes by congressional district, the other two to the statewide winner), the Electoral College will be 14 votes closer than the 365-to-173 total in 2008. That's because the 2010 Census cost blue states such as Massachusetts, New York and Illinois congressional seats—and electoral votes—while red states such as South Carolina, Georgia and Texas gained seats. None of Mr. McCain's states appear in real jeopardy for the GOP this year. After this initial hurdle, Mr. Romney's victory road starts with "3"—as in Indiana, North Carolina and Virginia, a trio of historically Republican states. In 2008, Mr. Obama won by narrow margins in Indiana (barely 1%) and North Carolina (0.32%). Today, even Team Obama doesn't pretend Indiana is in play. North Carolina also appears to be sliding away from the president: A May 14 Rasmussen poll of likely voters showed 51% for Romney, 43% for Obama. Virginia, on the other hand, will likely remain a battleground through Election Day. Mr. Obama carried it by more than six points and remains ahead by a little more than three points, according to the RealClearPolitics average of state polls. Nevertheless, if Mr. Romney can put these states' combined 39 electoral votes back into the GOP column, the Electoral College vote would be 319 for Mr. Obama, 219 for Mr. Romney. Next up is "2"—as in Florida and Ohio. They flipped from Republican in 2004 to Democratic in 2008. Both were close—a 2.8% margin for Mr. Obama in the former and 4.6% in the latter. The president's commanding lead in Florida among Jews has been sagging, his lead among Latinos has sharply narrowed, and seniors are restless. In Ohio he has definite problems with white working-class voters and affluent suburban independents. The race is extremely close in the Buckeye State—a May 7 Quinnipiac poll of registered voters has Mr. Romney at 44%, Mr. Obama at 45%—while a May 21 Quinnipiac poll of registered voters in the Sunshine State has Mr. Romney up 47% to 41%. These two states have a combined 47 electoral votes. If Mr. Romney wins them, the Electoral College would stand at 272 for Mr. Obama, 266 for Mr. Romney. Which brings us to "1." Mr. Romney then needs one more state—any state—and the White House is his. There are many paths open to him. One is the Neighborhood route. If the Boston resident and former Massachusetts governor captures next-door New Hampshire, its four electoral votes would take him to the magical 270 and the Oval Office. There's also the Great Lakes route through Michigan (16 electoral votes), Pennsylvania (20) and Wisconsin (10). Of these, Michigan may be the toughest. But Mr. Obama's antipathy toward coal, added to problems with working-class whites and suburban independents, puts Pennsylvania in play. A May 21 Rasmussen poll of likely voters had the president ahead by six percentage points. And if Gov. Scott Walker survives his June 5 recall by a healthy margin, Wisconsin could also be up for grabs—as it was in 2000 and 2004, when Democrats carried it by extremely narrow margins. A May 12 Marquette University Law School poll of likely voters shows the presidential race in Wisconsin tied at 46%. The Western route is Colorado (nine electoral votes), Nevada (six) or New Mexico (five). An April 23 Purple Strategies Poll of likely voters has the race tied in Colorado at 47%.
Rove: Romney's Roads to the White House
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05/23/2012 The latest poll from Quinnipiac University shows President Obama with a six-point deficit in Florida, 41 percent to Mitt Romney’s 47 percent. Romney also gets much better ratings on the economy — 50 percent say that the Republican is better able to handle the economy, compared to 40 percent for Obama. Forty-four percent say that they approve of the president’s job performance, and his unfavorables have risen to 50 percent. Predictably, this poll has led to warnings of doom for President Obama. But I’m not too surprised by the outcome. Florida has only gone for the Democratic nominee in two of the last eight presidential elections — Bill Clinton in 1996 with 48 percent of the vote, and Obama in 2008 with 51 percent of the vote. What’s more, relative to their national vote totals, both presidents underperformed in Florida; Clinton by 1.2 percent and Obama by 1.9 percent. Given Florida’s demographics, it’s not hard to understand why the Sunshine State is less-than-friendly territory for Democratic candidates. In 2008, an excellent year for Democrats, 49 percent of Florida voters were above the age of 50, and 71 percent were white. Among whites, Obama lost every single age group by double digits; his best performance was among whites aged 18 to 29, whom he lost by 10 points, instead of 12.5 points for whites over the age of 45, and 22 points for whites aged 30 to 44. Florida also is hurting economically — it ranks near the top nationally for foreclosures, and it has a higher-than-average unemployment rate of 9 percent. When you combine this with the fact of its demographics — and its slim history of electing Democrats — then it’s no surprise that Obama faces a six-point deficit. Indeed, if Obama were tied with or leading Romney, it would amount to terrible news for the Republican nominee. Obama can win the presidency without Florida; because of its unique demographic profile — mostly white with a substantial portion of Republican-leaning Latinos — weakness there doesn’t translate to other vote-rich states such as Virginia, Pennsylvania and Ohio. By contrast, while it’s possible for Romney to win the presidency without Florida, it’s unlikely: He would be the first Republican to do so, ever. If this election is as close as it looks, then a Romney advantage in Florida should be expected.
Why we should expect Obama to lose Florida in 2012
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